Reality Pulled Forward
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February 23, 2026 — RPF News Staff
As the sitting Vice President, Vance enters the 2028 primary with institutional advantages no other candidate can match. But the MAGA base is personal, not institutional — and early prediction market data suggests the coronation is far from guaranteed.
February 22, 2026 — RPF News Staff
The Florida governor's 2024 campaign flamed out early, but DeSantis has spent the past year quietly rebuilding his donor network and policy apparatus. RPF News examines whether the conditions that doomed his first run have changed.
February 21, 2026 — RPF News Staff
Haley won more Republican primary votes in 2024 than any non-Trump candidate in a generation. Her theory of the case for 2028 is simple: the party will eventually tire of chaos, and she'll be the most electable option standing.
February 20, 2026 — RPF News Staff
After a brief and controversial stint at the Department of Government Efficiency, Ramaswamy has returned to the campaign trail with a sharpened populist message and a growing following among younger Republican voters. Prediction markets give him a 9% chance at the nomination.
February 19, 2026 — RPF News Staff
The California governor has visited Iowa three times this year, hired a national communications team, and launched a federal PAC. He insists he's focused on governing. Prediction markets have him as the Democratic frontrunner at 28%.
February 18, 2026 — RPF News Staff
The Michigan governor's combination of swing-state credibility, union support, and battle-tested toughness has made her the favorite of the party's pragmatic wing. RPF News examines her path to the nomination and the obstacles in her way.
February 17, 2026 — RPF News Staff
The Pennsylvania governor won his 2022 race by 15 points in the most important swing state in America. His centrist brand and prosecutorial background echo a familiar Democratic archetype — but the primary electorate may want something different.
February 16, 2026 — RPF News Staff
Buttigieg, who turned a long-shot 2020 campaign into a cabinet appointment and a national profile, is assembling a formidable fundraising operation for 2028. The question is whether the party's base, burned by consecutive losses, will embrace a candidate who has never won a statewide race.
February 15, 2026 — RPF News Staff
Thirty-six states will elect governors in 2026. RPF News surveys the most competitive primaries, from the crowded Republican field in Florida to the Democratic battle in Pennsylvania, and what prediction markets are telling us about the likely nominees.
February 14, 2026 — RPF News Staff
Control of the Senate may hinge on primary outcomes in Texas, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. RPF News examines the leading candidates in each race and the prediction market odds that are shaping donor strategy.
February 13, 2026 — RPF News Staff
At least three senior cabinet officials are expected to leave their posts before the 2026 midterm elections, according to administration officials and prediction market activity. RPF News identifies the most likely departures and their potential replacements.
February 11, 2026 — RPF News Staff
The DEA is expected to publish its final rule reclassifying marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III within weeks, according to three officials familiar with the rulemaking process. RPF News has reviewed a near-final draft and reports on its key provisions.
February 9, 2026 — RPF News Staff
A multi-year federal investigation into public corruption is nearing its conclusion, with indictments expected against at least two current officeholders, according to four people familiar with the probe. The charges are expected to center on bribery and honest services fraud.