RPF

The Model

RPF News is funded through prediction market trading. Our journalism is the product of deep, original research into political races and policy outcomes. When that research reveals information the market hasn’t priced in, we trade on it — and then we publish the reporting for free.

The journalism moves markets. That’s the business model. We don’t need advertisers, donors, or subscribers. We need to be right.

How It Works

1. Deep research. We investigate political races, campaign finance, lobbying, and policy with the same rigor as any major newsroom.
2. Trade. When our reporting uncovers material information not yet reflected in prediction markets, we take positions.
3. Publish for free. We release the full investigation to the public. No paywall, no delay. The reporting is the product.
4. Markets adjust. As the information reaches the public and other market participants, prices move. Our earlier positions capture that value.

Disclosures

Every article published by RPF News includes a disclosure statement identifying any prediction market positions held by RPF or its principals that are related to the subject of the reporting. We believe radical transparency about our financial interests is essential to maintaining trust.

We hold positions because we believe our research is correct. We publish our research because the public deserves to see it. These incentives are aligned, not conflicted: we only profit when we are right, and we only build trust when we are transparent.